Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.120532 0.181964 0.253577 0.340685 0.441598 0.553009 0.683630
2025-11-30 0.046115 0.115654 0.214503 0.350704 0.522938 0.725544 0.975036
2025-12-07 0.015283 0.076256 0.183164 0.345991 0.564588 0.831918 1.170386
2025-12-14 0.001586 0.044914 0.150097 0.329446 0.584698 0.907928 1.326946
2025-12-21 0.000009 0.036529 0.150577 0.357898 0.661791 1.053047 1.565763
2025-12-28 NaN 0.030223 0.152115 0.386438 0.738217 1.197031 1.803270
2026-01-04 NaN 0.022363 0.146472 0.401574 0.794858 1.314995 2.008279
2026-01-11 NaN 0.020763 0.155258 0.440408 0.885141 1.476816 2.268344
2026-01-18 NaN 0.017574 0.158200 0.468698 0.960070 1.618597 2.503510
2026-01-25 NaN 0.011323 0.147938 0.472254 0.998161 1.711439 2.676862
2026-02-01 NaN 0.003533 0.120514 0.440327 0.981306 1.729718 2.754623
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000109 0.092163 0.400193 0.948315 1.723805 2.799541
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.077768 0.386808 0.957663 1.778068 2.926116
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.073608 0.395641 1.002758 1.882512 3.119218
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.064686 0.391108 1.025072 1.954521 3.269388
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.051886 0.373307 1.023914 1.992731 3.374709
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.056700 0.403714 1.104446 2.146983 3.633430
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.061485 0.434102 1.185071 2.301550 3.892818
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.061247 0.450200 1.241362 2.421590 4.106726
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.069762 0.491419 1.340772 2.603272 4.402473
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.074329 0.521385 1.421023 2.757786 4.662456
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.069755 0.525148 1.456474 2.848531 4.838176
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.053516 0.491333 1.425890 2.844127 4.887226